Fatal mistakes are made by players who fall in love with a certain team(s). The bottom line is they are all 'machines' and our job as handicappers is to identify those that are well oiled and hitting on all cylinders, and conversely those who are not. My primary focus is isolating on winning teams in underdog situations that have a good chance of winning the game in straight-up fashion. If they do, you win. If they don't, but play well, you still win. If they do neither, you lose. I like those kinds of odds. Hence, I live by the 'Woody Hayes' theory of handicapping. Hayes' contention was that when you pass the ball, three things can happen and two of them are bad. When it comes to handicapping sporting events, three things can happen when you bet on a favorite, and two of them are bad. Conversely, three things can happen when you bet on a dog, and two of them are good. Think about that the next time you're convinced a favorite can't lose.
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/16/2021
8:21 PM |
3 RAVENS (BAL)
17 BILLS (BUF)
|
+2.5 (100)
|
3
|
Loss |
1/9/2021
8:20 PM |
31 BUCCANEERS (TB)
23 WASHINGTON (NFL)
|
+8 (-105)
|
3
|
Push |
1/9/2021
1:05 PM |
24 COLTS (IND)
27 BILLS (BUF)
|
+7 (-125)
|
3
|
Win |
12/28/2020
8:20 PM |
38 BILLS (BUF)
9 PATRIOTS (NE)
|
+7 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/27/2020
4:28 PM |
9 RAMS (LAR)
20 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
|
+1 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/27/2020
1:05 PM |
24 COLTS (IND)
28 STEELERS (PIT)
|
+2 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
12/26/2020
8:20 PM |
26 DOLPHINS (MIA)
25 RAIDERS (LV)
|
+3 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
12/20/2020
4:28 PM |
32 CHIEFS (KC)
29 SAINTS (NO)
|
+3 (100)
|
3
|
Push |
12/20/2020
1:05 PM |
12 PATRIOTS (NE)
22 DOLPHINS (MIA)
|
+1.5 (-103)
|
4
|
Loss |
12/19/2020
4:35 PM |
48 BILLS (BUF)
19 BRONCOS (DEN)
|
+6 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/13/2020
8:24 PM |
15 STEELERS (PIT)
26 BILLS (BUF)
|
+2 (-110)
|
5
|
Loss |
12/13/2020
4:28 PM |
17 FALCONS (ATL)
20 CHARGERS (LAC)
|
+1.5 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
12/6/2020
4:28 PM |
16 EAGLES (PHA)
30 PACKERS (GB)
|
+8.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/6/2020
1:05 PM |
41 BROWNS (CLE)
35 TITANS (TEN)
|
+6 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
12/6/2020
1:05 PM |
21 SAINTS (NO)
16 FALCONS (ATL)
|
+3 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/29/2020
4:28 PM |
27 CHIEFS (KC)
24 BUCCANEERS (TB)
|
-3.5 (100)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/29/2020
4:08 PM |
23 49ERS (SF)
20 RAMS (LAR)
|
+6.5 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
11/29/2020
1:05 PM |
6 RAIDERS (LV)
43 FALCONS (ATL)
|
+3 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
11/23/2020
8:20 PM |
27 RAMS (LAR)
24 BUCCANEERS (TB)
|
+4 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
11/22/2020
1:05 PM |
20 PATRIOTS (NE)
27 TEXANS (HOU)
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
5
|
Loss |
11/22/2020
1:05 PM |
27 STEELERS (PIT)
3 JAGUARS (JAX)
|
+10.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/15/2020
4:28 PM |
16 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
23 RAMS (LAR)
|
+2 (-107)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/15/2020
4:08 PM |
21 CHARGERS (LAC)
29 DOLPHINS (MIA)
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/8/2020
1:05 PM |
24 RAVENS (BAL)
10 COLTS (IND)
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/8/2020
1:05 PM |
31 PANTHERS (CAR)
33 CHIEFS (KC)
|
+10.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/2/2021
12:05 PM |
23 Kentucky
21 NC State
|
+2.5 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
1/1/2021
8:25 PM |
49 Ohio State
28 Clemson
|
+7.5 (-115)
|
10
|
Win |
1/1/2021
1:05 PM |
19 Auburn
35 Northwestern
|
-3.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
1/1/2021
12:10 PM |
21 CINCINNATI
24 Georgia
|
+7 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
12/31/2020
6:07 PM |
24 West Virginia
21 ARMY
|
+7 (-110)
|
5
|
Win |
12/30/2020
8:05 PM |
20 Florida
55 Oklahoma
|
+3 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
12/29/2020
9:10 PM |
23 Colorado
55 Texas
|
+9.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/26/2020
7:40 PM |
37 LIBERTY (VA)
34 COASTAL CAROLINA (SC)
|
+7 (-105)
|
4
|
Win |
12/25/2020
2:35 PM |
10 Marshall
17 BUFFALO UNIVERSITY
|
+5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
12/19/2020
4:45 PM |
20 Boise State
34 San Jose State
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
12/19/2020
3:35 PM |
48 Mississippi
53 LSU
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/12/2020
10:05 PM |
14 San Diego State
28 BYU
|
+17.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/12/2020
6:05 PM |
17 Boise State
9 Wyoming
|
+10.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
12/12/2020
3:05 PM |
42 COASTAL CAROLINA (SC)
38 TROY STATE
|
+13.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
12/5/2020
3:35 PM |
6 West Virginia
42 Iowa State
|
+6.5 (-105)
|
4
|
Loss |
12/5/2020
12:05 PM |
22 Oklahoma State
29 TCU
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
11/28/2020
7:05 PM |
31 Kansas State
32 Baylor
|
+5.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
11/27/2020
3:42 PM |
31 Notre Dame
17 North Carolina
|
+5.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
11/21/2020
7:35 PM |
14 LIBERTY (VA)
15 NC State
|
+5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
11/21/2020
3:40 PM |
7 Wisconsin
17 Northwestern
|
+7.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
11/21/2020
3:35 PM |
36 CINCINNATI
33 CENTRAL FLORIDA (UCF)
|
+5.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
11/14/2020
7:50 PM |
49 Wisconsin
11 Michigan
|
+5 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
11/14/2020
3:40 PM |
45 Notre Dame
31 Boston College
|
+14 (-115)
|
3
|
Push |
11/14/2020
12:07 PM |
6 TCU
24 West Virginia
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
11/7/2020
7:35 PM |
40 Clemson
47 Notre Dame
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/16/2021
4:03 PM |
68 Baylor
60 Texas Tech
|
+4 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
1/14/2021
9:03 PM |
45 San Diego State
57 Utah State
|
+1 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
1/13/2021
9:03 PM |
90 Boise State
70 Wyoming
|
+8.5 (-102)
|
3
|
Loss |
1/11/2021
7:03 PM |
58 Loyola Chicago
48 Indiana State
|
-7 (-108)
|
3
|
Win |
1/9/2021
9:03 PM |
81 UCLA
76 Arizona
|
+3.5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
3/12/2020
9:30 PM |
0 Marquette
0 Seton Hall
|
+3.5 (-105)
|
3
|
N/P |
3/12/2020
3:30 PM |
0 Tulane
0 Connecticut
|
+9.5 (-107)
|
3
|
N/P |
3/11/2020
7:30 PM |
76 Rice
85 Florida International
|
-2 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
3/11/2020
5:30 PM |
70 Washington
77 Arizona
|
-6 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
3/10/2020
7:00 PM |
61 Northeastern
70 Hofstra
|
-1 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
3/9/2020
11:30 PM |
51 Saint Mary's CA
50 BYU
|
+4 (-103)
|
3
|
Win |
3/9/2020
6:00 PM |
61 Delaware
75 Hofstra
|
-3 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
3/7/2020
8:45 PM |
72 Butler
71 Xavier
|
-2 (-115)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/7/2020
6:30 PM |
74 Washington State
83 Arizona State
|
-9.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/7/2020
6:00 PM |
85 Cornell
82 Princeton
|
+12 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
3/7/2020
6:00 PM |
65 Columbia
85 Pennsylvania
|
+13.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/7/2020
2:00 PM |
66 Kansas
62 Texas Tech
|
+4 (-132)
|
4
|
Push |
3/4/2020
9:00 PM |
84 Dayton
57 Rhode Island
|
+4 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/4/2020
8:30 PM |
79 Villanova
77 Seton Hall
|
+3.5 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
3/3/2020
7:00 PM |
57 Wisc Milwaukee
63 Youngstown State
|
+5 (-105)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/3/2020
7:00 PM |
63 Davidson
80 Richmond
|
+6 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/1/2020
2:05 PM |
72 Western Kentucky
78 North Texas
|
-6.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
2/29/2020
10:00 PM |
64 Utah State
66 New Mexico
|
+8.5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
2/29/2020
2:00 PM |
72 Baylor
75 TCU
|
+8.5 (-102)
|
3
|
Win |
2/28/2020
7:00 PM |
64 Wright State
62 Northern Kentucky
|
-3 (-109)
|
4
|
Loss |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
3/1/2020
4:00 PM |
27 Houston Roughnecks
20 Dallas Renegades
|
+3 (-108)
|
3
|
Loss |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/9/2020
9:10 PM |
111 HEAT (MIA)
108 LAKERS (LAL)
|
+7 (-103)
|
3
|
Win |
9/25/2020
8:50 PM |
108 HEAT (MIA)
121 CELTICS (BOS)
|
-3 (-109)
|
3
|
Win |
9/19/2020
8:50 PM |
117 CELTICS (BOS)
106 HEAT (MIA)
|
-3 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
9/9/2020
6:50 PM |
125 RAPTORS (TOR)
122 CELTICS (BOS)
|
+3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
9/6/2020
8:50 PM |
109 ROCKETS (HOU)
117 LAKERS (LAL)
|
-5.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
9/4/2020
6:45 PM |
100 BUCKS (MIL)
115 HEAT (MIA)
|
-5 (-110)
|
4
|
Loss |
9/1/2020
5:45 PM |
102 CELTICS (BOS)
99 RAPTORS (TOR)
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
8/30/2020
1:25 PM |
112 CELTICS (BOS)
94 RAPTORS (TOR)
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/29/2020
6:50 PM |
80 THUNDER (OKC)
114 ROCKETS (HOU)
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/25/2020
6:55 PM |
107 JAZZ (UTA)
117 NUGGETS (DEN)
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/23/2020
9:25 PM |
127 NUGGETS (DEN)
129 JAZZ (UTA)
|
+3 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/22/2020
3:52 PM |
115 PACERS (IND)
124 HEAT (MIA)
|
+5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
8/20/2020
3:42 PM |
98 THUNDER (OKC)
111 ROCKETS (HOU)
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
8/19/2020
9:20 PM |
127 MAVERICKS (DAL)
114 CLIPPERS (LAC)
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/18/2020
4:10 PM |
101 PACERS (IND)
113 HEAT (MIA)
|
-5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/7/2020
9:12 PM |
122 CELTICS (BOS)
100 RAPTORS (TOR)
|
+2 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/5/2020
6:45 PM |
105 THUNDER (OKC)
86 LAKERS (LAL)
|
+6 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
8/4/2020
9:25 PM |
102 ROCKETS (HOU)
110 TRAILBLAZERS (POR)
|
+4 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
7/30/2020
9:15 PM |
101 Los Angeles Clippers
103 Los Angeles Lakers
|
+5 (-105)
|
3
|
Win |
3/4/2020
7:35 PM |
113 Orlando
116 Miami
|
+7 (-107)
|
3
|
Win |
2/29/2020
8:35 PM |
113 Orlando
114 San Antonio
|
-3.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
2/26/2020
10:35 PM |
114 Boston
103 Utah
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
2/21/2020
7:35 PM |
101 Phoenix
118 Toronto
|
+8 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
2/12/2020
7:38 PM |
111 Milwaukee
118 Indiana
|
+1 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
2/10/2020
7:05 PM |
126 Atlanta
135 Orlando
|
-8.5 (-110)
|
4
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
3/31/2019
8:00 PM |
23 Arizona Hotshots
6 San Antonio Commanders
|
+1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
3/23/2019
8:04 PM |
15 Salt Lake Stallions
19 San Antonio Commanders
|
+6 (-110)
|
3
|
Win |
3/17/2019
4:00 PM |
37 San Antonio Commanders
6 Atlanta Legends
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/10/2019
8:00 PM |
29 San Antonio Commanders
25 Arizona Hotshots
|
-2.5 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
3/2/2019
8:00 PM |
20 Orlando Apollos
11 Salt Lake Stallions
|
+4 (-110)
|
3
|
Loss |
2/23/2019
3:00 PM |
15 Arizona Hotshots
23 Salt Lake Stallions
|
+5 (-115)
|
3
|
Win |
Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/27/2020
8:15 PM |
1 RAYS (TB)
3 DODGERS (LAD)
|
-120
|
3
|
Win |
10/13/2020
6:05 PM |
8 BRAVES (ATL)
7 DODGERS (LAD)
|
8.5 un +100
|
3
|
Loss |
10/7/2020
7:10 PM |
8 RAYS (TB)
4 YANKEES (NYY)
|
121
|
3
|
Win |
10/6/2020
4:37 PM |
5 ASTROS (HOU)
2 ATHLETICS (OAK)
|
175
|
3
|
Loss |
10/5/2020
4:07 PM |
10 ASTROS (HOU)
5 ATHLETICS (OAK)
|
120
|
3
|
Win |
9/24/2020
6:38 PM |
1 YANKEES (NYY)
4 BLUE JAYS (TOR)
|
107
|
3
|
Win |
9/23/2020
6:11 PM |
2 WHITE SOX (CWS)
3 INDIANS (CLE)
|
-150
|
3
|
Win |
9/22/2020
7:10 PM |
2 RAYS (TB)
5 METS (NYM)
|
-122
|
3
|
Loss |
9/12/2020
8:16 PM |
4 INDIANS (CLE)
8 TWINS (MIN)
|
-104
|
4
|
Loss |
9/8/2020
7:10 PM |
8 MARLINS (MIA)
0 BRAVES (ATL)
|
107
|
3
|
Win |
9/8/2020
6:05 PM |
4 ATHLETICS (OAK)
2 ASTROS (HOUS)
|
-135
|
3
|
Loss |
9/7/2020
6:37 PM |
7 YANKEES (NYY)
12 BLUE JAYS (TOR)
|
-127
|
3
|
Win |
9/5/2020
7:11 PM |
3 BREWERS (MIL)
4 INDIANS (CLE)
|
-112
|
3
|
Win |
9/3/2020
7:31 PM |
6 BLUE JAYS (TOR)
2 RED SOX (BOS)
|
-122
|
3
|
Win |
9/2/2020
7:06 PM |
0 NATIONALS (WAS)
3 PHILLIES (PHA)
|
-117
|
3
|
Loss |
8/29/2020
7:06 PM |
7 DODGERS (LAD)
4 RANGERS (TEX)
|
139
|
3
|
Loss |
8/29/2020
7:05 PM |
2 ATHLETICS (OAK)
4 ASTROS (HOU)
|
-123
|
4
|
Win |
8/28/2020
7:11 PM |
5 CUBS (CHC)
6 REDS (CIN)
|
-129
|
3
|
Loss |
8/26/2020
7:11 PM |
3 TWINS (MIN)
6 INDIANS (CLE)
|
-101
|
3
|
Win |
8/24/2020
8:10 PM |
2 REDS (CIN)
4 BREWERS (MIL)
|
-136
|
3
|
Loss |
8/23/2020
4:11 PM |
1 DIAMONDBACKS (ARZ)
6 GIANTS (SF)
|
109
|
3
|
Win |
8/22/2020
9:11 PM |
2 ASTROS (HOU)
13 PADRES (SD)
|
-130
|
4
|
Win |
8/21/2020
9:41 PM |
3 ANGELS (LAA)
5 ATHLETICS (OAK)
|
104
|
3
|
Win |
8/17/2020
7:10 PM |
6 NATIONALS (WAS)
7 BRAVES (ATL)
|
-153
|
3
|
Win |
8/16/2020
4:06 PM |
15 ATHLETICS (OAK)
3 GIANTS (SF)
|
-121
|
3
|
Win |