SportsWatchMonitor, A Professional Sports Monitoring Service
Winners Only (AJMay)
EXPERT BIO
Member Since 07/17/2021
I am primarily an NHL bettor and have been successful in the past playing purely motivational and scheduling angles on underdogs. That was guesswork compared to when I discovered the world of advanced statistics. These stats will tell you when a team has been playing well despite losing, or a team has been playing poorly despite winning. Using this in addition to historical trends will allow you to find value and avoid getting lured into “traps”. You can roughly think of the way I handicap games as: Total edge = Statistical edge + Historical trends + Line value + Motivational edge. This last NHL season, I went a documented 246-242 with a 3.1% ROI (+$10.7k) and average odds of +104 (only capper on the board with positive odds). Since the start of the 2020 playoffs, I am 282-262 with a 5.3% ROI (+$20.3k). I am humbled by sports betting despite turning profits every year. I will admit when I made a bad pick and/or when I get lucky with a win. There is always more to learn. It is a journey with ups and downs, but it ends with an increased bankroll. Trust me and I will prove it to you.
I am primarily an NHL bettor and have been successful in the past playing purely motivational and scheduling angles on underdogs. That was guesswork compared to when I discovered the world of advanced statistics. These stats will tell you when a team has been playing well despite losing, or a team has been playing poorly despite winning. Using this in addition to historical trends will allow you to find value and avoid getting lured into “traps”. You can roughly think of the way I handicap games as: Total edge = Statistical edge + Historical trends + Line value + Motivational edge. This last NHL season, I went a documented 246-242 with a 3.1% ROI (+$10.7k) and average odds of +104 (only capper on the board with positive odds). Since the start of the 2020 playoffs, I am 282-262 with a 5.3% ROI (+$20.3k). I am humbled by sports betting despite turning profits every year. I will admit when I made a bad pick and/or when I get lucky with a win. There is always more to learn. It is a journey with ups and downs, but it ends with an increased bankroll. Trust me and I will prove it to you.
LAST 25 PICKS PER SPORT
NBA
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5/22/2023
8:40 PM |
113 NUGGETS (DEN)
111 LA Lakers
|
+143
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/20/2023
8:35 PM |
119 NUGGETS (DEN)
108 LA Lakers
|
-5.5 (-110)
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/18/2023
8:30 PM |
103 LA Lakers
108 NUGGETS (DEN)
|
-5.5 (-110)
|
5
|
Loss |
|
4/28/2023
10:30 PM |
85 Memphis
125 LA Lakers
|
-4.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Win |
NHL
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5/25/2023
8:15 PM |
2 Vegas
3 Dallas
|
-109
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/22/2023
8:05 PM |
0 Carolina
1 Florida
|
-107
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/19/2023
8:35 PM |
3 Dallas
4 Vegas
|
+110
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/12/2023
10:10 PM |
3 Edmonton
4 Vegas
|
+125
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/12/2023
7:15 PM |
3 Florida
2 Toronto
|
+159
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/11/2023
7:10 PM |
2 New Jersey
3 Carolina
|
-134
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/10/2023
7:10 PM |
2 Toronto
1 Florida
|
+106
|
10
|
Loss |
|
5/2/2023
9:40 PM |
5 KRAKEN (SEA)
4 Dallas
|
+158
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/2/2023
7:10 PM |
4 Florida
2 Toronto
|
+147
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/29/2023
8:08 PM |
2 New Jersey
5 NY Rangers
|
+116
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/29/2023
7:05 PM |
2 Toronto
1 LIGHTNING (TB)
|
-110
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/28/2023
10:08 PM |
4 Colorado
1 KRAKEN (SEA)
|
+135
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/28/2023
7:10 PM |
2 Carolina
1 NY Islanders
|
+105
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/27/2023
7:38 PM |
0 NY Rangers
4 New Jersey
|
-113
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/27/2023
7:08 PM |
4 LIGHTNING (TB)
2 Toronto
|
+140
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/26/2023
9:50 PM |
3 KRAKEN (SEA)
2 Colorado
|
+175
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/25/2023
9:50 PM |
3 Los Angeles
6 Edmonton
|
+1.5 (-134)
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/24/2023
7:38 PM |
5 Toronto
4 LIGHTNING (TB)
|
-105
|
10
|
Loss |
|
4/23/2023
1:05 PM |
5 Carolina
2 NY Islanders
|
-119
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/22/2023
10:08 PM |
6 Colorado
4 KRAKEN (SEA)
|
+130
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/22/2023
4:07 PM |
5 Vegas
4 Winnipeg
|
-115
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/21/2023
9:30 PM |
1 Dallas
5 Minnesota
|
-102
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/19/2023
10:08 PM |
2 Los Angeles
4 Edmonton
|
-1.5 (115)
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/19/2023
9:38 PM |
3 Minnesota
7 Dallas
|
-152
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/19/2023
7:00 PM |
3 NY Islanders
4 Carolina
|
-1.5 (167)
|
8
|
Loss |
NFL
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2/12/2023
6:40 PM |
38 CHIEFS (KC)
35 EAGLES (PHA)
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/29/2023
6:35 PM |
20 BENGALS (CIN)
23 CHIEFS (KC)
|
-120
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/29/2023
3:05 PM |
7 49ERS (SF)
31 EAGLES (PHA)
|
-2.5 (-115)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/22/2023
6:30 PM |
12 COWBOYS (DAL)
19 49ERS (SF)
|
+4 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/22/2023
3:05 PM |
27 BENGALS (CIN)
10 BILLS (BUF)
|
-5.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/21/2023
8:15 PM |
7 GIANTS (NYG)
38 EAGLES (PHA)
|
-7.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/21/2023
4:35 PM |
20 JAGUARS (JAX)
27 CHIEFS (KC)
|
+9.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/16/2023
8:15 PM |
31 COWBOYS (DAL)
14 BUCCANEERS (TB)
|
+2.5 (-107)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/15/2023
8:15 PM |
17 RAVENS (BAL)
24 BENGALS (CIN)
|
+8.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/15/2023
4:40 PM |
31 GIANTS (NY)
24 VIKINGS (MIN)
|
-3 (+100)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/14/2023
8:15 PM |
30 CHARGERS (LA)
31 JAGUARS (JAX)
|
+2.5 (-107)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/8/2023
8:24 PM |
20 LIONS (DET)
16 PACKERS (GB)
|
+5 (-109)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/8/2023
4:26 PM |
13 CARDINALS (ARZ)
38 49ERS (SF)
|
+14 (-105)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/8/2023
4:26 PM |
16 RAMS (LAR)
19 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
|
+6 (-115)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/8/2023
1:03 PM |
14 BROWNS (CLE)
28 STEELERS (PIT)
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/8/2023
1:03 PM |
17 BUCCANEERS (TB)
30 FALCONS (ATL)
|
+7.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/7/2023
8:15 PM |
16 TITANS (TEN)
20 JAGUARS (JAX)
|
+6.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/2/2023
8:35 PM |
BILLS (BUF)
BENGALS (CIN)
|
-115
|
10
|
Postponed |
|
1/1/2023
8:23 PM |
16 STEELERS (PIT)
13 RAVENS (BAL)
|
+1.5 (-105)
|
10
|
Win |
|
1/1/2023
4:26 PM |
17 VIKINGS (MIN)
41 PACKERS (GB)
|
+3.5 (-118)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/1/2023
4:06 PM |
6 JETS (NYJ)
23 SEAHAWKS (SEA)
|
-1 (-120)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
1/1/2023
1:03 PM |
31 JAGUARS (JAX)
3 TEXANS (HOU)
|
+4 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
12/26/2022
8:15 PM |
20 CHARGERS (LAC)
3 COLTS (IND)
|
+4 (-110)
|
10
|
Loss |
|
12/25/2022
1:03 PM |
26 PACKERS (GB)
20 DOLPHINS (MIA)
|
+3.5 (-110)
|
10
|
Win |
|
12/24/2022
8:17 PM |
10 RAIDERS (LV)
13 STEELERS (PIT)
|
-2 (-107)
|
10
|
Win |
NHL
| Date | Game | Pick | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5/25/2023
8:15 PM |
2 Vegas
3 Dallas
|
-109
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/22/2023
8:05 PM |
0 Carolina
1 Florida
|
-107
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/19/2023
8:35 PM |
3 Dallas
4 Vegas
|
+110
|
8
|
Loss |
|
5/12/2023
10:10 PM |
3 Edmonton
4 Vegas
|
+125
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/12/2023
7:15 PM |
3 Florida
2 Toronto
|
+159
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/11/2023
7:10 PM |
2 New Jersey
3 Carolina
|
-134
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/10/2023
7:10 PM |
2 Toronto
1 Florida
|
+106
|
10
|
Loss |
|
5/2/2023
9:40 PM |
5 KRAKEN (SEA)
4 Dallas
|
+158
|
8
|
Win |
|
5/2/2023
7:10 PM |
4 Florida
2 Toronto
|
+147
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/29/2023
8:08 PM |
2 New Jersey
5 NY Rangers
|
+116
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/29/2023
7:05 PM |
2 Toronto
1 LIGHTNING (TB)
|
-110
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/28/2023
10:08 PM |
4 Colorado
1 KRAKEN (SEA)
|
+135
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/28/2023
7:10 PM |
2 Carolina
1 NY Islanders
|
+105
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/27/2023
7:38 PM |
0 NY Rangers
4 New Jersey
|
-113
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/27/2023
7:08 PM |
4 LIGHTNING (TB)
2 Toronto
|
+140
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/26/2023
9:50 PM |
3 KRAKEN (SEA)
2 Colorado
|
+175
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/25/2023
9:50 PM |
3 Los Angeles
6 Edmonton
|
+1.5 (-134)
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/24/2023
7:38 PM |
5 Toronto
4 LIGHTNING (TB)
|
-105
|
10
|
Loss |
|
4/23/2023
1:05 PM |
5 Carolina
2 NY Islanders
|
-119
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/22/2023
10:08 PM |
6 Colorado
4 KRAKEN (SEA)
|
+130
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/22/2023
4:07 PM |
5 Vegas
4 Winnipeg
|
-115
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/21/2023
9:30 PM |
1 Dallas
5 Minnesota
|
-102
|
8
|
Loss |
|
4/19/2023
10:08 PM |
2 Los Angeles
4 Edmonton
|
-1.5 (115)
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/19/2023
9:38 PM |
3 Minnesota
7 Dallas
|
-152
|
8
|
Win |
|
4/19/2023
7:00 PM |
3 NY Islanders
4 Carolina
|
-1.5 (167)
|
8
|
Loss |
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