The Memphis Grizzlies are playing too well right now to only be a 2.5-point home favorite over the Phoenix Suns. The Grizzlies are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall with wins over the likes of the Clippers, Spurs and Rockets all by double-digits. The Phoenix Suns are just 19-26 on the season. They are going to have a hard time slowing down this Memphis freight train. The Suns are without center Aron Baynes. The Grizzlies shoot 53.3% from the field on 2-pointers as they get the rim at will, which ranks 7th in the NBA. Not having Baynes makes the Suns much more vulnerable inside. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a losing record. Memphis is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games. Bet the Grizzlies Sunday.
1* NBA - Free Pick on Pacers/Blazers UNDER 220 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA matchup that has the Blazers hosting the Pacers. I believe we are seeing an inflated total based on the recent results of these two teams. Indiana comes in off a 129-118 win at Golden State, while Portland has just played two at home against the Warriors and Mavs that saw both finish with a combined score greater than 250. UNDER is 21-8 in the Pacers last 29 games after a contest in which they scored 125 or more points. Not to mention Indiana will be down one of their top scorers and best facilitators, as Malcolm Brogdon (17.1 ppg, 7.3 apg) is out with a concussion. As for the Blazers last two games they have come on two monster games from Damian Lillard, who had 61 against Golden State and 47 against the Mavs. Lillard does a lot of his damage in the pick and roll and that's a big strength of this Indiana defense. This is also the Pacers 5th straight on the road all of which will come in a 8 day stretch. Indiana will definitely be looking to slow the pace down and it's worth noting that each of the last 4 meetings in this series have gone UNDER the mark (all had a total of 218.5 or less). Take the UNDER!